Tuesday, August 31, 2010

UNC Basketball History


The North Carolina Tar Heels had some powerhouse teams in the early 80s. The 1981-82 championship team featured Sam Perkins, James Worthy, and Michael Jordan.
I did some research checking the line-ups year by year, and it turns out that the 1983-84 team featured five future NBA first round draft picks:
Michael Jordan, OG (3rd pick, 1984)
Sam Perkins, PF (4th pick, 1984)
Brad Daugherty, C (1st pick, 1986)
Kenny Smith, PG (6th pick, 1986)
Joe Wolf, PF (13th pick, 1987)
Using 1985-86 as a reference, and using the 1985-86 statistics, an all UNC team would be composed of the following:
POSSIBLE STARTERS:
CF Sam Perkins (1984, 4th pick): 15.4 ppg, 8.6 rpg
F James Worthy (1982, 1st pick): 20.0 ppg, 5.2 rpg
FG Walter Davis (1977, 5th pick): 21.8 ppg, 5.2 apg
GF Michael Jordan (1984, 3rd pick): 22.7 ppg, 3.6 rpg
GF Al Wood (1981, 4th pick): 11.6 ppg in 22.4 mpg
KEY RESERVES:
CF Mitch Kupchak (1976, 13th pick): 6.0 ppg, 3.5 rpg after serious injury in 1981
CF Bob McAdoo (1972, 2nd pick): 10.1 ppg, 3.6 rpg
F Bobby Jones (1974, 5th pick): 7.0 ppg, 2.4 rpg
F Mike O'Koren (1980, 6th pick): 5.2 ppg
G Dudley Bradley (1979, 13th pick): 2.8 ppg, 1.2 spg
G Phil Ford (1978, 2nd pick): 7.1 ppg, 5.1 apg in 1983-84, retired in 1984-85 at age 28, would have been 29 in 1985-86.
Repeating this scenario, but moving forward in time to 1992-93, Michael Jordan's last season before his first retirement, the line-up would now look like this:
POSSIBLE STARTERS:
C Brad Daugherty (1986, 1st pick): 20.2 ppg, 10.2 rpg, 4.4 apg
FC Sam Perkins (1984, 4th pick): 13.1 ppg, 6.6 rpg
F James Worthy (1982, 1st pick): 14.9 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 3.4 apg
G Kenny Smith (1986, 6th pick): 13.0 ppg, 5.4 apg
G Michael Jordan (1984, 3rd pick): 32.6 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 5.5 apg, 2.8 spg
KEY RESERVES:
CF Pete Chilcutt (1991, 27th pick): 6.1 ppg, 3.3 rpg
FC JR Reid (1989, 5th pick): 9.4 ppg, 5.5 rpg
FC Scott Williams (Undrafted): 5.9 ppg, 6.4 rpg
FG Rick Fox (1991, 24th pick): 6.4 ppg, 2.2 rpg
G Hubert Davis (1992, 20th pick): 5.4 ppg, 1.7 apg
Lastly, let's take a look at the modern version of an All-UNC team based on 2009-10 statistics:
STARTERS:
C Brendan Haywood (2001, 20th pick): 9.1 ppg, 9.3 rpg, 2.1 bpg
F Antawn Jamison (1998, 4th pick): 18.7 ppg, 8.4 rpg
F Marvin Williams (2005, 2nd pick): 10.1 ppg, 5.1 rpg
G Raymond Felton (2005, 5th pick): 12.1 ppg, 5.6 apg, 1.5 spg
GF Vince Carter (1998, 5th pick): 16.6 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 3.1 apg
KEY RESERVES:
CF Rasheed Wallace (1995, 4th pick): 9.0 ppg, 4.1 rpg
FC Jawad Williams (Undrafted): 4.1 ppg, 1.5 rpg
F Brandan Wright (2007, 8th pick): 8.3 ppg, 4.0 rpg
F Tyler Hansbrough (2009, 13th pick): 8.5 ppg, 4.8 rpg
GF Jerry Stackhouse (1995, 3rd pick): 8.5 ppg, 2.4 rpg
G Wayne Ellington (2009, 28th pick): 6.6 ppg
G Ty Lawson (2009, 18th pick): 8.3 ppg, 3.1 apg
INACTIVE LIST
FC Sean May (2005, 13th pick): 3.3 ppg, 1.9 rpg
GF Rashad McCants (2005, 14th pick): 9.6 ppg in 2008-09

Monday, August 30, 2010

2010 UAAP: Final Four Scenarios

With about 3 games per team left in the UAAP's current season, the Final Four scenarios are taking shape. At this point, the Final Four cast is almost certain: FEU, Ateneo, Adamson, and DLSU, with NU having an unlikely, albeit still mathematically possible chance of dislodging DLSU for the fourth slot. Presuming nothing supernatural happens and that the top four teams do not lose unexpectedly to the lower four teams for the balance of the year, there are still a number of variations to the scenarios.

Adamson and DLSU, currently tied for third, will part ways since they will still face each other. The loser of that match will most likely end up as the 4th seeded team. That is the only thing that is set right now as far as the Final Four. Possible scenarios are:

1. Ateneo beats FEU, creates a tie for 1st place. Given the parity of teams this year, and given that both 1 & 2 will have the twice to beat advantage, the only real relevance of this scenario is whether it will result in an Ateneo-LaSalle matchup. If Adamson wins against DLSU, Ateneo will have to beat FEU in the eliminations, then beat them again in the knock out match to land the first seed. That would set up a 1 vs 4 matchup with DLSU.

2. FEU beats Ateneo, secures 1st place. Ateneo falls into a tie with the winner of the DLSU-Adamson game for second. This will force a knock out match between the two teams for second, and then they will face each other again in a twice to beat scenario. Again, if DLSU beats Adamson, this will create an Atene-LaSalle matchup at the 2 vs 3 slot.

For FEU, they can't finish worse than second, so its a sure twice to beat advantage for them against either Adamson or DLSU.

Ateneo has the biggest upside and downside. They are the only other team that can rise as high as 1st (by beating FEU twice), but can also fall to 3rd if they lose to FEU, and then lose again to the winner of the Adamson-DLSU match-up. Offhand though, they have the edge over Adamson, having beaten them both games, and while tied 1-1 with DLSU, they were did post a more impressive victory.

DLSU and Adamson have the same upside and downside. Both can fall as low as 4, and go up as high as 2.

At this point though, the only thing that I find excitement is waiting for the possibility of another Ateneo-DLSU matchup in the semis. That would make things more exciting, and of course, bring in the money for the UAAP.